Was not Last Database fully defined, but that captured what those voters could identify and against which they could take a position. The hypothesis that we proposed with respect to these voters, for example, was that the majority of them were going to be located on the Last Database anti-correísta side of the division and vote mostly for Lasso in the second round. A post-election analysis shows that this is what actually happened4. Returning to Last Database the voters of Yaku Pérez, we said that the most important cleavage that simplified the decision for them was that of «left/right».
As a Last Database consequence, faced with the choice between Correismo and a conservative right-wing banker, the reasonable expectation was that the majority of voters who had previously cast their vote for Yaku Pérez would bite the bullet in the second round and elect Arauz. Put Last Database more appropriately, the most viable options for them were to annul the vote (precisely what Pachakutik was promoting as a sign of Last Database rejection of the electoral system as a whole) or to vote for Arauz, without forgetting the tensions between.
Correismo and the Last Database rest of the left. This being the case, it was sensible to think that the votes that went to Hervas would go, in majority, to Lasso. And it was reasonable to assume that most of the votes that went to Yaku Pérez would be split between Arauz and the null vote, with only a few Last Database going to Lasso. In this specific scenario, each null vote of a voter who previously voted for Pérez was, in the general trend, one vote less for Arauz, and therefore the beneficiary was Lasso in the calculation of the official result Last Database according to the Ecuadorian electoral system. The second round and the massive invalid vote In the Ecuadorian electoral system, null and blank votes are not part of the total "valid votes" used to calculate the official election.